When y’all sense a drawdown inwards your profitability, the nearly of import affair y’all tin do is accurately diagnose what is going on. There are 3 possibilities:
1) Nothing is going on – The drawdown is normal together with expectable for y’all together with your trading approach. Unless y’all accept an insanely high Sharpe ratio historically (steady gains, pocket-sized losses), y’all tin count on sequences of losing trades together with losing days, weeks, together with months. You don’t desire to overreact to every losing catamenia together with continually alter what you’re doing; otherwise, you’d never build expertise inwards whatever detail trading modality.
2) Market accept changed – This is clearest when y’all position shifts inwards marketplace trends, volatility, together with correlation over the catamenia of your drawdown. A recent Bloomberg article inwards which I was quoted makes this quest real well: immature traders accept non lived through rising charge per unit of measurement regimes together with could hold out surprised past times changing marketplace patterns (such equally the correlation of stock together with bond returns). If your drawdown correlates amongst such a catamenia of marketplace change, unopen to adaptation is inwards order. Not all trading problems are psychological inwards origin.
3) You are trading poorly – A dominant subject in my forthcoming book is the importance of knowing your best practices. If y’all know what y’all do good when y’all are making money, you’re nearly probable to hold out able to position when y’all deviate from those strengths. Poor trading tin effect from distraction, fatigue, frustration, and/or patterns of negative self-talk. Until y’all address those factors, putting uppercase at lead chances undermines your trading business.
Markets continually challenge us, together with that is what prods us to continually change. Drawdowns are the market’s agency of telling us that nosotros ask to focus on our trading together with non on screens. Some of the greatest together with nearly constructive changes inwards people’s trading accept been inspired past times the nearly painful losses.
Further Reading: Best Practices During Trading Slumps