Market Lessons From The Rodeo

Now that’s or thence expert cowboy wisdom.  No cowboy e’er said, “Ride the Equus caballus that fits your personality.”  Hell, no.  If y’all desire to win at the rodeo together with rope that steer, y’all ride your best horse.

But every rodeo needs its clowns to distract the bulls; it’s exclusively markets that convey the clowns that distract the bulls together with the bears.  Once inwards a spell the clowns state something that gets on my nerves, sort of similar that guy inwards the foursquare trip the calorie-free fantastic who doesn’t know allemande left from allemande correct together with messes things up.  But thence I realize that if I’m distracted past times the clowns, thence I’m the bull, non the bull roper.  

The unmarried matter I’ve done this twelvemonth that has helped my trading surgical operation is ride my best Equus caballus together with forget everything else.  I examined my winning trades, backtested the most robust patterns over multiple fourth dimension frames, together with right away I’m exclusively trading those.  If there’s no robust pattern, I don’t trade.  And that’s most the time.

It turns out that those patterns rate when the bulls together with bears are most distracted past times clowns.  Very rigid markets perish on their strength, but people desire to fade them.  Very weak markets perish on their weakness together with people destination out inwards panic.  Underreaction together with overreaction–those are company behavioral foundations of marketplace edges.

When I traded patterns that tally my personality, it was similar running a vesture shop together with stocking it exclusively amongst merchandise that tally my tastes.  A successful shop figures out the tastes of customers together with fifty-fifty anticipates shifts inwards those tastes.  Success is most figuring out the market’s personality, non indulging your own.  And that personality has a distinct laid upwards of behavioral biases if y’all tin give the axe only focus on the cowboys together with non the clowns.

Further Reading:  Discipline together with Devotion

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